ALCOAlico, Inc.
Alico, Inc. (ALCO) generates revenue through real estate development and management, primarily in Florida, with a focus on land monetization and asset optimization. The next catalyst is Oct 15, 2026 — Strategic Land Monetization, which will test the company’s ability to convert underutilized land into cash flow. The event will assess the progress of its land sales and the impact on liquidity and earnings visibility.
- Alico, Inc. operates in a niche real estate management and development sector, with a heavy focus on land asset optimization.
- The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81x, suggesting moderate leverage.
- Free cash flow (TTM) stands at $7.44M, but net income remains negative at -$8.26M, highlighting the challenges of transitioning from agricultural to real estate operations.
The Read
7% after securing favorable credit terms that eased liquidity fears and then gained about 2.
The schedule
- Thu15Oct
This event will test the company's ability to monetize its land assets and generate incremental cash flow. The outcome will impact product mix and P&L, particularly if the monetization is delayed or underperforms expectations.
- Fri6Nov
This earnings report will test the company's ability to maintain margin expansion and deliver on guidance. The outcome will be critical for P&L and cash flow, as the company's exposure to refinancing and NIM dynamics will be under scrutiny.
- Fri5Feb
This earnings report will test the company's ability to maintain margin expansion and deliver on guidance. The outcome will be critical for P&L and cash flow, as the company's exposure to refinancing and NIM dynamics will be under scrutiny.
- Fri7May
This earnings report will test the company's ability to maintain margin expansion and deliver on guidance. The outcome will be critical for P&L and cash flow, as the company's exposure to refinancing and NIM dynamics will be under scrutiny.
- Fri6Aug
- Thu26Aug
This event will test the company's ability to generate investor interest and maintain visibility in the market. The outcome will be less impactful on P&L but could influence sentiment and product mix.
Past
- Wed26Aug
Actual outcome: Mixed · $40.42 at outcome
Alico Presents at 17th Annual Agricultural Conference outcome: mixed (price remained between our bull and bear targets).
Presentation at the 17th Annual Agricultural Conference, focusing on company strategy and market outlook.
- Fri7Aug
Actual outcome: Mixed · $41.31 at outcome
Alico reported Q2 2026 EPS of $1.48, exactly meeting estimates, and highlighted its strategic pivot away from legacy citrus operations toward real estate. While the company announced $34.6 million in year-to-date land sales and an extended cash runway through fiscal 2028, the stock experienced a modest 2.7% gain, resulting in a mixed outcome as the market digested the ongoing transition.
Alico reported Q2 2026 EPS of $1.48, exactly meeting estimates, and highlighted its strategic pivot away from legacy citrus operations toward real estate. While the company announced $34.6 million in year-to-date land sales and an extended cash runway through fiscal 2028, the stock experienced a modest 2.7% gain, resulting in a mixed outcome as the market digested the ongoing transition.
- Fri8May
Actual outcome: Bull · $41.32 at outcome
Price reached or exceeded bull target ($42.00) at outcome date.
- Wed1Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $42.49 at outcome
ALCO successfully addressed its near-term liquidity risks by securing favorable terms on its credit facilities and avoiding a highly dilutive debt restructuring. This alleviation of capital structure concerns and improved financial flexibility drove the stock past the bull target, as the market priced out the worst-case scenarios stemming from previous negative operating cash flows.
