How Scouter Models Expected Moves
Scouter analyzes historical realized price volatility and upcoming corporate catalysts to model potential bull and bear scenarios across 10,000+ tickers across all major U.S. exchanges.
Volatility Baseline
We establish a baseline using actual, past realized price fluctuations over multiple historical timeframes, completely omitting options implied volatility (IV) or options-market pricing.
Catalyst Event Mapping
Upcoming corporate events (like earnings releases, macro data, or index additions) are mapped against how the ticker historically behaved during similar catalyst windows.
Modeled Scenarios
We generate modeled bull and bear targets to provide risk context and setups. These serve as diligence aids to help you assess volatility, never as buy/sell recommendations.
Want to dive deeper?
See the product walkthrough or the Expected Moves section in Help.