BULLWebull Corporation
Webull Corporation (BULL) operates in the investment banking and brokerage sector, offering retail and institutional trading platforms, portfolio advisory services, and embedded investing solutions. The next catalyst is Oct 15, 2026 — Retail Trading Volume Surge, which will test the company’s ability to capitalize on rising retail participation.
- BULL’s revenue grew 46.3% YoY to $571M in 2025, with a net margin of 4.3% in the trailing twelve months.
- The company reported a net loss of $1.23 per diluted share in 2025, despite strong revenue growth.
- Shareholders’ equity stands at $1.02B, with a capital structure that balances leverage and liquidity.
The Read
BULL stock historically saw a median absolute move of ~12%.
The schedule
- Wed7Oct
Stock Market Today, Oct. 7: Webull Plunges 19% on House China Security Report
- Thu15Oct
The surge in retail trading volume is expected to test the company's ability to scale its platform and maintain user engagement. This event will highlight the effectiveness of recent marketing initiatives and the company's capacity to handle increased transactional load without compromising service quality.
- Fri30Oct
The announcement of the 2026 general plan will test the company's strategic clarity and investor confidence in its long-term vision. This event will focus on the company's roadmap for product innovation, market expansion, and financial performance.
- Mon15Mar
The product launch catalyst will test the company's ability to innovate and capture market share with new offerings. This event will focus on the reception of the product, user adoption, and its impact on revenue streams.
- Thu13May
The Q3 2026 earnings release will test the company's ability to maintain momentum from Q2 and deliver consistent revenue growth. This event will focus on the performance of new products, user retention, and margin expansion.
- Wed30Jun
The regulatory compliance update will test the company's ability to navigate evolving regulatory landscapes and maintain operational integrity. This event will focus on the company's adherence to compliance standards and its ability to avoid penalties.
- Thu12Aug
The Q4 2026 earnings release will test the company's ability to deliver strong year-end results and meet or exceed expectations. This event will focus on the performance of core products, user growth, and margin expansion.
- Thu11Nov
Past
- Tue6Oct
Actual outcome: Bear · $5.89 at outcome
BULL experienced a sharp decline due to a significant earnings miss and downward guidance, which exceeded market expectations. The company reported lower-than-expected revenue and profit, signaling weaker-than-anticipated performance and raising concerns about its short-term outlook. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: -19.1% from 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-07 (~3.8σ vs typical 1d vol). Target evaluation date 2026-10-11 (not yet reached as of 2026-10-07). Confidence 95%.
BULL experienced a sharp decline due to a significant earnings miss and downward guidance, which exceeded market expectations. The company reported lower-than-expected revenue and profit, signaling weaker-than-anticipated performance and raising concerns about its short-term outlook. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: -19.1% from 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-07 (~3.8σ vs typical 1d vol). Target evaluation date 2026-10-11 (not yet reached as of 2026-10-07). Confidence 95%.
- Thu13Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $8.16 at outcome
Webull beat earnings estimates with an EPS of $0.0459, matching the estimate, and delivered record Q2 revenue of $198.8 million, showing strong growth in trading activity and customer assets. The positive earnings report, combined with a bullish market sentiment and strategic initiatives like AI-powered tools and international expansion, drove the stock higher, surpassing the bull target of $8.20.
Webull's Q2 report will test if the 36% YoY revenue growth can be sustained without the margin-crushing marketing spend seen in Q1.
- Thu14May
Actual outcome: Bear · $6.18 at outcome
Webull reported Q1 revenue growth of 36% year-over-year, falling short of the 53%+ growth expectations, while heavier marketing spending pressured profitability and led to an EPS miss against consensus estimates. The deceleration in top-line growth and margin concerns triggered a 15.3% sell-off, as the results failed to deliver the clean beat-and-raise required to support the stock's stretched valuation.
Webull reported Q1 revenue growth of 36% year-over-year, falling short of the 53%+ growth expectations, while heavier marketing spending pressured profitability and led to an EPS miss against consensus estimates. The deceleration in top-line growth and margin concerns triggered a 15.3% sell-off, as the results failed to deliver the clean beat-and-raise required to support the stock's stretched valuation.