DCO.DEDeere & Company
The schedule
- Thu15Oct
Evaluation of President Trump's agricultural export tariffs and domestic farming subsidies, impacting farmer sentiment and machinery capex.
- Wed25Nov
Estimated Q4 earnings focusing on year-end dealer inventory levels and forward guidance for the 2027 planting season.
- Wed31Mar
Spring release of crop acreage intentions which directly correlates to mid-year fleet upgrade cycles.
- Wed19May
Peak seasonal earnings report detailing realized spring sales and adjustments to full-year net income guidance.
Past
- Tue18Aug
Actual outcome: Bull
DCO.DE surged on a strong earnings report that exceeded expectations, showcasing improved operational performance and better-than-forecast revenue. The results signaled a turnaround in the business, leading to a re-rating of the stock. The move was consistent with a 3.5σ event in the ultra-short horizon. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-07 (~3.5σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-07 observed. Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-09: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-14: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-14 observed.
DCO.DE surged on a strong earnings report that exceeded expectations, showcasing improved operational performance and better-than-forecast revenue. The results signaled a turnaround in the business, leading to a re-rating of the stock. The move was consistent with a 3.5σ event in the ultra-short horizon. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-07 (~3.5σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-07 observed. Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-08: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-09: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-10: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-09-14: +6.8% from 2026-08-19 (~3.5σ). Target date 2026-08-22 reached; move through 2026-09-14 observed.