ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is a global leader in financial market technology and data, providing infrastructure for trading, clearing, and settlement across equities, derivatives, and fixed income. The next catalyst is Nov 5, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test ICE’s ability to sustain revenue growth and navigate regulatory and macroeconomic headwinds.
- Revenue reached $13.55B in 2026, up 7.5% YoY, with net income of $4.04B and a net margin of 29.8%.
- Debt-to-equity stands at 0.66x, with shareholders’ equity of $28.91B.
- Diluted EPS of $1.69 reflects strong profitability, though margin pressure remains a key open question.
The schedule
- Thu5Nov
The Q3 2026 earnings release is a key event for ICE, with particular emphasis on revenue performance from digital assets and any updates related to regulatory developments. This event is expected to provide insight into the company's progress in these areas, which are critical to its long-term growth strategy. Investors should closely monitor the results and management's commentary for signals about the company's direction and performance in the sector. The earnings report is likely to have a significant impact on market sentiment and stock price movement in the days following the release.
- Thu6May
- Thu5Aug
- Thu4Nov
Past
- Wed1Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $152.48 at outcome
Intercontinental Exchange announced a partnership with NATIVX to launch the first-ever GPU compute futures contracts based on the COIL Index. This new derivative product allows market participants to trade and hedge energy-normalized compute capacity, positioning the company to capitalize on the surging demand for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing infrastructure. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-06 (~3.3σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. Confidence 85%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed.
Intercontinental Exchange announced a partnership with NATIVX to launch the first-ever GPU compute futures contracts based on the COIL Index. This new derivative product allows market participants to trade and hedge energy-normalized compute capacity, positioning the company to capitalize on the surging demand for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing infrastructure. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-06 (~3.3σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. Confidence 85%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +4.9% from 2026-07-01 (~3.3σ). Target date 2026-07-06 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed.
- Thu30Apr
Actual outcome: Mixed · $156.11 at outcome
The stock fell 1.3% following the earnings release, as the EPS matched expectations but guidance signaled margin pressure. However, the Polymarket strategy update introduced new growth opportunities, which tempered the decline and kept the stock within a neutral range.
The stock fell 1.3% following the earnings release, as the EPS matched expectations but guidance signaled margin pressure. However, the Polymarket strategy update introduced new growth opportunities, which tempered the decline and kept the stock within a neutral range.
- Mon30Mar
Actual outcome: Bull · $167.79 at outcome
ICE maintained its valuation near bull targets by reporting record trading activity in its derivatives and equity markets alongside a significant $600 million strategic investment to increase its stake in Polymarket. This strong operational performance and expansion into high-growth prediction markets effectively mitigated concerns regarding SEC market structure rules, supporting a bullish outlook.
ICE maintained its valuation near bull targets by reporting record trading activity in its derivatives and equity markets alongside a significant $600 million strategic investment to increase its stake in Polymarket. This strong operational performance and expansion into high-growth prediction markets effectively mitigated concerns regarding SEC market structure rules, supporting a bullish outlook.
- Thu5Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $149.83 at outcome
Intercontinental Exchange reported a slight Q4 2025 EPS beat ($1.71 vs $1.68) and highlighted record full-year growth, yet the stock plunged 11.0%, trading significantly below the bear floor. This severe negative reaction suggests the market was highly disappointed by weak forward guidance, or concerns regarding margin stability and the pace of cost synergy realization from the Black Knight acquisition, overriding the positive headline earnings figures.
Intercontinental Exchange reported a slight Q4 2025 EPS beat ($1.71 vs $1.68) and highlighted record full-year growth, yet the stock plunged 11.0%, trading significantly below the bear floor. This severe negative reaction suggests the market was highly disappointed by weak forward guidance, or concerns regarding margin stability and the pace of cost synergy realization from the Black Knight acquisition, overriding the positive headline earnings figures.
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