IMAXIMAX Corporation
IMAX Corporation sells premium cinema experiences through its proprietary large-format screens and immersive sound systems, leveraging high-end content partnerships to drive ticket sales. The next catalyst is Sep 28, 2026 — The Odyssey fuels Imax stock, which will test the box office momentum from its blockbuster film and the broader premium theater narrative.
- IMAX is a premium cinema operator with a focus on high-end content and immersive technology.
- The company has a strong balance sheet with $152.88M in free cash flow over the last twelve months.
- Its revenue grew 16.5% YoY, driven by strong content performance and market share gains.
The Read
4% over the past year after beating earnings estimates with record revenue from 'Avatar: Fire And Ash,' then faced mixed reactions to China updates and Q1 results, but rallied sharply on 'The Odyssey's' box office success and China's regulatory clarity, pushing shares to all-time highs.
The schedule
- Thu22Oct
This earnings report will test the company's ability to sustain revenue growth amid competitive pressures from streaming platforms and shifting consumer preferences. The outcome will also reflect the impact of recent theatrical releases and the performance of IMAX's premium cinema experience.
- Tue9Feb
This earnings report will test the company's ability to maintain momentum from the Q3 results and demonstrate consistent revenue growth. The outcome will also reflect the impact of new theatrical releases and the performance of IMAX's premium cinema experience.
- Thu29Apr
This earnings report will test the company's ability to sustain revenue growth and demonstrate the effectiveness of its new theatrical releases and technology initiatives.
- Thu22Jul
This earnings report will test the company's ability to maintain momentum from previous quarters and demonstrate consistent revenue growth. The outcome will also reflect the impact of new theatrical releases and the performance of IMAX's premium cinema experience.
- Thu9Sep
This event will test the market's reaction to potential updates on IMAX's strategic initiatives, including technology development and partnerships.
Past
- Wed30Sep
This news event will test the market's reaction to potential updates on IMAX's strategic initiatives, including technology development and partnerships.
- Mon28Sep
The release of 'The Odyssey' will test the company's ability to convert box office success into shareholder value. The event will also highlight the effectiveness of IMAX's marketing and distribution strategy.
- Wed9Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $56.33 at outcome
The stock remained flat following the event, with no clear directional movement toward either the bull target or bear floor. The presentation at financial institutions and positive box office results contributed to market sentiment, but the lack of material price movement suggests mixed reactions to the event's outcomes and broader market conditions.
IMAX is scheduled to present at a major financial institution, where it is expected to highlight its strategic initiatives and market positioning. This event provides an opportunity for the company to communicate its long-term vision and recent developments to key stakeholders. The presentation may also include insights into future growth opportunities and how IMAX plans to capitalize on them in the evolving entertainment landscape.
- Sat15Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $52.74 at outcome
IMAX shares surged well past the $39.00 bull target to reach all-time highs, driven by the massive global box office success of the film 'The Odyssey.' The record-breaking demand for premium viewing experiences and rising theater system installations bolstered the company's earnings growth outlook, completely overshadowing any geopolitical or regulatory concerns in the Chinese market.
- Thu23Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $47.29 at outcome
IMAX reported earnings in line with estimates, but the stock surged due to strong box office performance from 'The Odyssey,' which is driving premium ticket demand and reinforcing investor confidence in the company's premium theater format. The positive momentum from the film's success and the favorable film slate contributed to the rally.
- Wed1Jul
Actual outcome: Bear · $37.33 at outcome
IMAX shares fell 7.6% during the interim summer blockbuster performance check, reflecting market disappointment over early summer box office momentum and premium format ticket sales. This initial selloff drove the stock toward the bear floor, though an analyst subsequently noted on July 8 that the pullback created an obvious bargain, which helped fuel a massive rally in the following weeks.
- Thu21May
Actual outcome: Bull · $54.79 at outcome
Shares of IMAX surged following reports from The Wall Street Journal that the company is exploring a potential sale and has approached entertainment companies as potential buyers. The reports indicated that the premium cinema technology company has held preliminary, early-stage talks through intermediaries, fueling significant acquisition speculation. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 to 2026-06-05 (~6.5σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-05 observed. Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-08: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-09: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-10: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-11: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-11 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-12: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-15: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-16: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-18: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-19: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-19 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-23: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-23 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-25: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-25 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-26: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-26 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-29: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-30: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-30 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-01: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-02: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-03: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-03: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-04: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-05: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-20: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-21: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-24: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-24 observed.
Shares of IMAX surged following reports from The Wall Street Journal that the company is exploring a potential sale and has approached entertainment companies as potential buyers. The reports indicated that the premium cinema technology company has held preliminary, early-stage talks through intermediaries, fueling significant acquisition speculation. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Missed anticipation: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 to 2026-06-05 (~6.5σ vs typical 1d vol). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-05 observed. Confidence 95%. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-08: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-09: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-10: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-11: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-11 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-12: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-15: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-16: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-18: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-19: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-19 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-23: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-23 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-24: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-24 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-25: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-25 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-26: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-26 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-29: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-06-30: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-06-30 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-01: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-01 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-02: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-02 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-03: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-08: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-08 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-09: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-09 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-10: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-10 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-14: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-15: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-15 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-16: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-16 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-20: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-21: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-27: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-27 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-28: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-28 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-29: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-29 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-07-31: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-07-31 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-03: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-03 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-04: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-04 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-05: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-05 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-06: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-06 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-07: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-07 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-12: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-12 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-13: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-13 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-14: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-14 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-17: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-17 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-18: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-18 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-20: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-20 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-21: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-21 observed. [Market retrospective · Ultra-Short (1–5 days)] Updated observation 2026-08-24: +15.5% from 2026-05-21 (~6.5σ). Target date 2026-05-26 reached; move through 2026-08-24 observed.
- Fri15May
Actual outcome: Mixed · $34.22 at outcome
IMAX's Annual Shareholder Meeting passed without delivering any major surprises or new fundamental updates regarding its technology roadmap. In the absence of fresh catalysts to alter the current narrative around the broader box office recovery, the stock remained flat at $33.59, failing to break toward either the bull or bear targets.
- Thu30Apr
Actual outcome: Bear · $35.24 at outcome
IMAX beat Q1 bottom-line estimates, posting earnings of $0.17 per share, but reported a 6% year-over-year decline in total revenue to $81.4 million. Despite a box office boost from 'Project Hail Mary,' the stock fell 7.3% as investors focused on the top-line contraction and margin pressures tied to difficult comparisons and headwinds in China.
- Wed1Apr
Actual outcome: Mixed · $37.84 at outcome
The anticipated China Box Office and theatre pipeline update did not yield significant new catalysts, leaving the stock's near-term price action relatively flat with a minor 2.1% decline. Market attention was instead divided between a strong $28 million IMAX opening weekend for 'Project Hail Mary' and news of CEO Rich Gelfond's temporary medical leave, resulting in a mixed initial reaction before shares eventually trended toward the bull target.
- Wed25Feb
Actual outcome: Bull · $36.79 at outcome
IMAX delivered record-breaking 2025 results with Q4 revenue and adjusted EPS surging 35% and 115% respectively, fueled by the massive success of 'Avatar: Fire And Ash.' Strong FY2026 guidance forecasting $1.4 billion in global box office, alongside an accelerating system installation pipeline and a new F1 partnership with Apple TV, drove the stock to exceed the bull target by the run date.
