VSTVistra Corp.
Vistra Corp. (VST) operates as a leading electric utility, generating and distributing electricity across the U.S. through a mix of fossil fuels, renewables, and grid infrastructure. The next catalyst is Nov 6, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the company’s ability to deliver on its guidance amid rising energy demand and regulatory headwinds.
- Vistra’s revenue grew 19.1% YoY to $17.93B, with net income of $2.31B and free cash flow of $1.40B in the latest reported period.
- The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.34x, with a net margin of 12.9% and diluted EPS of $0.76.
- Vistra’s recent dividend declaration highlights its cash flow strength, though earnings volatility from hedging losses remains a concern.
The schedule
- Fri6Nov
The Q3 2026 earnings release is a key event that will provide insight into the company's performance, with a particular emphasis on revenue generated from renewable energy projects and AI-driven infrastructure. This event is expected to have a significant impact on the stock price due to its potential to signal the company's progress in these strategic areas. Investors should closely monitor the results and management's guidance for clues about future growth and direction.
- Tue9Feb
- Wed31Mar
Stephen Mandel's 13F filing is an important event that may indicate a shift in institutional holdings, potentially signaling a strategic investment in renewable energy infrastructure. This filing could influence market perception of the company's long-term prospects and its position in the energy sector. The filing is expected to provide insight into the types of assets and projects that are attracting significant institutional interest.
- Fri7May
- Sat15May
The second 13F filing of the year from Stephen Mandel is likely to reflect updated holdings in energy infrastructure and AI-driven projects. This filing may indicate continued strategic investment in these areas, which could have implications for the company's growth and market position. Investors should pay attention to any changes in holdings as they may signal shifts in investment priorities.
- Fri6Aug
The Q2 2027 earnings release is a critical event that will provide an update on the company's performance, with a focus on AI-driven infrastructure and renewable energy growth. This report is expected to have a significant impact on the stock price, as it will highlight the company's progress in these key areas. Investors should watch for details on revenue growth, operational efficiency, and future project pipelines.
Past
- Fri7Aug
Actual outcome: Bear
Vistra reported an EPS actual of $2.90, matching the estimate, but the stock fell to $140.59, below the bear floor of $138.00. The earnings included an unrealized loss from hedges, which overshadowed strong Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA growth, leading to a bearish price reaction.
Vistra reported an EPS actual of $2.90, matching the estimate, but the stock fell to $140.59, below the bear floor of $138.00. The earnings included an unrealized loss from hedges, which overshadowed strong Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA growth, leading to a bearish price reaction.
- Fri8May
Actual outcome: Bear · $146.87 at outcome
The stock fell 0.6% following the Q1 2026 earnings release, despite the EPS actual matching the estimate. The bear floor was reached on the outcome date, indicating a bearish outcome. The lack of positive guidance or strategic developments likely contributed to the downward pressure, as investors sought clarity on the company's long-term direction and performance outlook.
The stock fell 0.6% following the Q1 2026 earnings release, despite the EPS actual matching the estimate. The bear floor was reached on the outcome date, indicating a bearish outcome. The lack of positive guidance or strategic developments likely contributed to the downward pressure, as investors sought clarity on the company's long-term direction and performance outlook.
- Thu26Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $165.99 at outcome
Vistra reported Q4 2025 EPS of $0.55, exactly matching consensus estimates. Despite meeting bottom-line expectations, the stock fell 6.1% as the highly anticipated 2026 guidance failed to satisfy the market's elevated expectations. The lack of a forward-looking upside surprise prompted a bearish reaction as investors adjusted their near-term outlook.
Vistra reported Q4 2025 EPS of $0.55, exactly matching consensus estimates. Despite meeting bottom-line expectations, the stock fell 6.1% as the highly anticipated 2026 guidance failed to satisfy the market's elevated expectations. The lack of a forward-looking upside surprise prompted a bearish reaction as investors adjusted their near-term outlook.
