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BMO.TOBank of Montreal

This is the year Bank of Montreal has to prove it can deliver consistent value in a sector that’s been anything but. The next catalyst — the Q4 2026 earnings release — is the one that could finally turn the page, with a modeled bull target of $270.85 and a bear fallback of $225.71, leaning 68% toward the upside. If the bank can show that its net interest margin is holding up and its capital structure is evolving in a way that makes sense for shareholders, it could be the event that resets the narrative. But it’s not the only test on the horizon — the Bank of Canada Macro Path Review and the OSFI Regulatory & Mortgage Policy Update are both coming up in the next few months, and each will be a chance for the bank to either reinforce its positioning or risk being left behind.

Oct 20, 2026 — OSFI Regulatory & Mortgage Policy Update
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The schedule

  • Tue20Oct
  • Tue24Nov

    Earnings release for Q4 2026, with focus on net interest margin and capital structure performance.

  • Wed14Apr

Past

  • Wed9Sep

    Actual outcome: Mixed

  • Tue25Aug

    Actual outcome: Mixed · $238.75 at outcome

    BMO.TO beat earnings estimates with an EPS of 3.54, matching the forecast. The strong performance in US banking and capital markets drove the stock higher, despite a flat price reaction over the period, as the market focused on the positive outlook and operational strength.

    BMO's scheduled Q3 2026 earnings release, providing an update on net income trajectory, wealth management flows, and US segment stability.