MCOMoody's Corporation
Moody's Corporation sells credit ratings, risk assessments, and analytics to financial institutions, corporations, and governments. The next catalyst is Oct 22, 2026 — Q3 2026 Earnings Release, which will test the company’s ability to sustain revenue growth and margin resilience amid shifting regulatory and macroeconomic conditions.
- Revenue of $8.17B in 2026 reflects an 8.9% YoY increase, with a net margin of 33.8% (TTM).
- Leverage stands at 1.84x debt-to-equity, with $4.05B in shareholders’ equity.
- Earnings power is supported by a 47.9% operating margin, though cash flow is constrained by high capital expenditures and regulatory compliance costs.
The schedule
- Sun1Feb
Moody's successfully navigated the implementation of EU CRA 3.0 and related global regulatory changes, demonstrating its ability to absorb compliance costs while maintaining strong pricing power. The company's continued growth in analytic solutions around the new rules reassured investors of its structural profitability and competitive moat, driving the stock to reach and exceed the $515 bull target.
- Thu22Oct
- Tue9Feb
- Thu22Apr
- Thu29Jul
Past
- Tue5May
Actual outcome: Mixed · $451.32 at outcome
Moody's reported Q1 2026 earnings that exactly matched analyst estimates, delivering an EPS of $3.74. With no significant surprises in the headline results or immediate strategic updates, the market reaction was muted, leaving the stock flat and trading between the bull and bear targets.
Moody's reported Q1 2026 earnings that exactly matched analyst estimates, delivering an EPS of $3.74. With no significant surprises in the headline results or immediate strategic updates, the market reaction was muted, leaving the stock flat and trading between the bull and bear targets.
- Wed1Apr
Actual outcome: Bull · $446.81 at outcome
Moody's reported double-digit revenue growth and an earnings jump, with management providing strong 2026 guidance of 10-14% bottom-line growth. The stock reached the bull target as investors prioritized these resilient fundamentals and the company's wide economic moat over regulatory concerns, treating the period as a buying opportunity for an oversold high-quality asset.
Moody's reported double-digit revenue growth and an earnings jump, with management providing strong 2026 guidance of 10-14% bottom-line growth. The stock reached the bull target as investors prioritized these resilient fundamentals and the company's wide economic moat over regulatory concerns, treating the period as a buying opportunity for an oversold high-quality asset.
- Wed18Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $437.11 at outcome
Price reached or fell below bear floor ($397.00) at outcome date.
Price reached or fell below bear floor ($397.00) at outcome date.