RKLBRocket Lab USA, Inc.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) sells small satellite launch services and orbital infrastructure, targeting government and commercial customers with rapid, cost-effective access to space. The next catalyst is Oct 6, 2026 — Neutron First Stage Static Fire / Integration Milestone, which will test the company’s progress toward its heavy-lift rocket’s operational readiness. Rocket Lab’s ability to integrate and test the Neutron’s first stage will signal whether it can scale beyond its current smallsat launch business.
- Rocket Lab’s revenue grew 38% YoY to $734M in 2026, but net income remains negative at -$157.56M.
- Free cash flow is -$610.72M TTM, and net margins are -21.5%, reflecting high R&D and capital expenditures.
- Debt-to-equity is 0.09x, suggesting a relatively conservative capital structure.
The Read
Rocket Lab's stock historically showed a median absolute move of ~4%.
The schedule
- Sun8Nov
The Q3 2026 earnings release will provide insight into the company's performance and future outlook, with a particular emphasis on the progress of the backlog and the timing of the Neutron launch. This event is expected to have a significant impact on investor sentiment and stock price movement. The outcome will be closely watched by market participants looking for signals about the company's operational and financial health. The earnings report could set the tone for the remainder of the year and influence the trajectory of the stock.
- Tue2Feb
- Tue9Feb
The Q4 2026 earnings release will provide a comprehensive overview of the company's performance and guidance for the upcoming period, with a focus on the progress of the Neutron launch and revenue growth. This event is anticipated to have a major impact on the stock's direction and investor confidence. The results will be a critical indicator of the company's ability to meet its strategic goals and deliver on its commitments. The earnings report is expected to be a pivotal moment for the stock in the near term.
- Tue11May
- Mon9Aug
Past
- Tue6Oct
Actual outcome: Bear · $68.40 at outcome
Stock rose 56.0% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bear trajectory.
- Thu24Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $72.18 at outcome
Stock rose 25.7% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
- Tue8Sep
Actual outcome: Bull · $71.97 at outcome
Stock rose 12.0% from event to outcome date, aligning with the bull trajectory.
Rocket Lab is set to be mentioned in an analyst report that highlights its Mars ambitions and the growth of its backlog. This could spark increased investor interest and positive sentiment towards the company. The report is expected to provide insights into the company's strategic direction and potential for future growth. Such analyst mentions often play a crucial role in shaping market perceptions and can lead to short-term price movements.
- Sun9Aug
Actual outcome: Bull · $80.01 at outcome
Rocket Lab met Q2 EPS estimates while delivering record revenue of $234 million and a massive $2.36 billion backlog. The stock surged past the $78 bull target, driven by these strong financial results, robust gross margins, and a flurry of major contract wins with the U.S. Space Force and Viasat that reinforced its long-term growth trajectory.
- Mon20Jul
Actual outcome: Bull · $69.75 at outcome
Price reached or exceeded bull target ($78.00) at outcome date.
- Thu26Feb
Actual outcome: Bear · $69.10 at outcome
Rocket Lab reported Q4 EPS of -$0.09, exactly matching analyst estimates. Without a significant beat on the bottom line or a strong upside catalyst in its FY2026 guidance, the stock experienced a 4.9% decline immediately following the event as investors took near-term profits.
