SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.
The schedule
- Thu15Oct
High risk of a dilutive capital raise assessed from a $5.45 entry, with a $6.35 target for non-dilutive facilities versus a $5.45 base-case downside.
- Wed3Feb
Assessing forward contract margins from a $4.50 reset price, targeting a $5.25 recovery against a $3.60 risk level.
- Thu11Feb
Focusing on 2027 LNG volume guidance and remote power demand from $5.25, with a $6.20 upside target and a $4.10 floor.
- Thu6May
Evaluating full operational run-rates on legacy contracts starting at $6.20, aiming for $7.30 on cash-flow generation or dropping to $4.90.
Past
- Wed5Aug
Evaluating execution of the recent $200M multi-year contract from a $4.79 base, aiming for $5.45 upside or a $3.80 floor.
- Mon20Jul
Actual outcome: Bear
The company failed to announce the highly anticipated LNG supply contracts for remote power and data center infrastructure during its mid-2026 update. Without concrete new contract wins or definitive timelines for these high-growth segments, investors were left disappointed, driving a 10% decline in the stock as the market repriced its near-term growth prospects.
Market anticipates potential updates on LNG supply contracts, particularly focusing on remote power or data center infrastructure demand.
- Thu7May
Actual outcome: Bull · $4.79 at outcome
Stabilis Solutions met Q1 2026 EPS expectations, though overall results were weaker due to the anticipated expiration of two large multi-year contracts. However, the stock rallied past the bull target because the company secured a massive new $200 million, 2-year LNG contract and management guided for a strong recovery later in the year driven by demand in data centers, aerospace, and marine markets. This forward-looking optimism and major contract win completely overshadowed the near-term revenue dip.
Q1 2026 results and updated LNG volume guidance will be the first check on whether Stabilis Solutions can reaccelerate growth after the recent revenue and earnings slowdown. A clean print with improving utilization and stable margins could push SLNG toward $4.10, while another weak quarter or lower demand commentary could send the stock toward $4.10.
