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Sep 30, 2026 — Civil Aerospace Production Rate Decisions (Airbus/Boeing Exposure)
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The schedule

  • Wed30Sep

    Announcements from key customers like Airbus and Boeing on civil aerospace production rates by late September 2026 will reshape Senior’s medium-term volume outlook; firm or higher build rates and content wins could lift the shares from about $245.00 toward $295.00, while cuts, deferrals, or program-specific disappointments could pull the stock down toward $295.00.

  • Thu15Oct

    Through Q4 2026, Senior is positioned to bid for and potentially secure new content on civil and defense platforms; winning higher-margin, long-duration contracts could re-rate the stock from around $215.00 toward $255.00, while a thin award pipeline or competitive losses could reinforce concerns and see shares drift toward $255.00.

  • Sun1Nov

    As US and UK defense budgets and specific program decisions are finalized into late 2026, clarity on funded platforms where Senior has content will influence defense backlog visibility; sustained or expanded funding could move the shares from about $255.00 toward $280.00, while cancellations, deferments, or mix shifts away from Senior-heavy platforms could pressure the stock toward $280.00.

  • Tue15Dec

    By year-end 2026, Senior is likely to update investors on its debt profile and capital allocation, including any refinancing, deleveraging, or acquisition plans; securing attractive refinancing terms and demonstrating disciplined leverage reduction could support the stock from around $220.00 toward $255.00, while higher interest costs, leverage drift, or aggressive M&A could drive it down toward $255.00.

  • Wed20Jan

    Senior’s 2026 year-end trading update around late January 2027 will frame the final outturn versus prior guidance and set the tone for early 2027 expectations; delivering on revenue, margin, and cash flow goals from a depressed share price near $190.00 could trigger a relief rally toward $225.00, whereas another year of weak growth or soft cash conversion could push the stock toward $225.00.

  • Mon15Mar

    The formal FY 2026 results and detailed 2027 outlook in mid-March 2027 will provide full audited numbers, segment detail, and updated medium-term targets; demonstrating clear earnings growth, margin expansion, and disciplined capital allocation from a base near $225.00 could support a move toward $265.00, while a weak outlook or guidance reset could see shares fall back toward $265.00.

Past

  • Sat15Aug

    H1 2026 results and updated guidance will test whether Senior can re-accelerate growth after recent revenue and earnings contraction while justifying a rich ~40x P/E at around $287.00; a clean execution with improving margins and confident 2026–2027 guidance could support a move toward $310.00, while any miss, downgrade, or weak cash conversion could trigger a de-rating toward $310.00.

  • Sat30May

    Actual outcome: Mixed · $288.00 at outcome

    Senior plc's AGM and capital allocation update provided no major surprises regarding dividend progression, buybacks, or capex priorities. Without significant deviations from market expectations in its capital return plans, the stock saw a muted reaction and traded flat through the outcome date.

    Senior plc holds its 2026 AGM and updates shareholders on capital allocation, including potential dividend progression, buybacks, and capex priorities at a share price of $287.50.