SRCE1st Source Corporation
The schedule
- Thu22Oct
SRCE enters its Q3 print with shares historically elevated and an overbought RSI.
- Wed18Nov
Under President Trump's administration, regional banks anticipate an easing of compliance burdens and capital requirements.
- Tue9Feb
The Q4 full-year readout will provide crucial visibility into the bank's Commercial Real Estate portfolio health and loan demand.
- Thu29Apr
By Q1 2027, the impact of late-2026 rate shifts on the yield curve should fully reflect in SRCE's Net Interest Margin run-rate.
- Thu29Jul
Looking toward mid-2027, SRCE's ability to maintain its competitive valuation discount will depend on sustained EPS execution.
Past
- Wed16Sep
The September FOMC meeting will clarify the latest interest rate trajectory, heavily impacting SRCE's net interest margin.
- Wed17Jun
Actual outcome: Bull · $78.94 at outcome
1st Source shares rallied following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, eventually surpassing the $79.50 bull target. The Fed's updated rate trajectory provided a favorable outlook for the bank's net interest margin and deposit beta, easing concerns over funding costs. Furthermore, positive media coverage highlighting the company's strong dividend profile helped bolster investor sentiment and drive the stock higher.
1st Source shares rallied following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, eventually surpassing the $79.50 bull target. The Fed's updated rate trajectory provided a favorable outlook for the bank's net interest margin and deposit beta, easing concerns over funding costs. Furthermore, positive media coverage highlighting the company's strong dividend profile helped bolster investor sentiment and drive the stock higher.
- Fri20Mar
Actual outcome: Bull · $70.28 at outcome
Following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, the updated interest rate trajectory provided a favorable macro backdrop for 1st Source's Net Interest Margin (NIM) and deposit beta. Combined with positive sentiment highlighted in the financial press regarding the bank's strong dividend profile, this favorable rate outlook drove a 6.2% rally, pushing shares past the $70.50 bull target.
Following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, the updated interest rate trajectory provided a favorable macro backdrop for 1st Source's Net Interest Margin (NIM) and deposit beta. Combined with positive sentiment highlighted in the financial press regarding the bank's strong dividend profile, this favorable rate outlook drove a 6.2% rally, pushing shares past the $70.50 bull target.
- Thu29Jan
Actual outcome: Bull · $69.83 at outcome
1st Source delivered a strong Q4 2025, beating EPS estimates ($1.69 actual vs $1.62 estimate) and reporting record annual net income, with Q4 net income up 30.87% YoY. This performance validated the bull case expectation that strong results would initiate multiple expansion given the P/E discount to peers. The positive momentum was reinforced by a Zacks rating upgrade to Buy, driving the stock to a new 52-week high and clearing the $68.50 bull target.
1st Source delivered a strong Q4 2025, beating EPS estimates ($1.69 actual vs $1.62 estimate) and reporting record annual net income, with Q4 net income up 30.87% YoY. This performance validated the bull case expectation that strong results would initiate multiple expansion given the P/E discount to peers. The positive momentum was reinforced by a Zacks rating upgrade to Buy, driving the stock to a new 52-week high and clearing the $68.50 bull target.